Bermuda Weather Service Forecast Discussion

For Saturday, May 16, 2026  08:00 UTC

FORECASTER - Kimberley Zuill 

NOWCAST: This Morning through Tonight 
Cloudy to overcast skies persisted through the night with cloud 
ceilings below 1000ft finally lifting as the cold front inched across 
our area. Moderate SW winds slowly veered W then finally NW early 
morning. Satellite imagery indicates the edge of high level cloud 
over us, and this is likely to thin through the day to give a mostly 
sunny or even sunny sky- welcome after the last week of persistent 
cloud! High pressure becomes stacked through the atmosphere and at 
the surface the smaller high to the west gradually shifts into our 
area, linking with the broader “Azores” high to our NE. This in turn 
creates a ridge to our north that stretches nearly across the Atlantic… 
the first solid attempt at establishing the “Bermuda-Azores” high 
this year. The humidity is now comfortably hovering around 70% and 
there is a “cool-feel” to the NW breeze. OPC pegs offshore seas around 
2m/6ft and they will gradually abate further through the period. 
   
Warnings: None.  

AVIATION: VRF conditions. RWY30 with wind 300-350 deg 6-9kts, then 
veer NE tomorrow. No hazards expected. For current airfield information 
please visit: http://www.weather.bm/Aviation  

SHORT TERM FORECAST: Sunday through Monday 
Aloft, upper ridging continues to dominate and exert influence of 
suppression to our near north, however at the surface the residual 
boundary to our south reforms into an inverted trough and cloud becomes 
trapped under the southern edge of the ridge. As the boundary slides 
to our south, cloud and possible isolated light showers may skirt 
over our area during the short term, especially on Sunday. Winds 
become ENE but fluctuate as the 2 high centres continue to merge, 
with the inverted trough between them amplifying slightly before 
models flatten it out.  As we remain on the edge of all this activity, 
confidence is low in the cloud forecasting, regardless winds will 
remain light and fluctuate between NE and E. Temperatures will moderate 
somewhat, possibly becoming slightly cooler than average. Moderate 
seas ease to become slight at times.   
WARNINGS: None expected in the short term.           
       
LONG TERM FORECAST: Tuesday through Wednesday
High pressure slides by to our north as it elongates along that 
latitude with a trend towards settled weather with building sunshine. 
Light near east winds gradually veer to become SSE by midweek. Slight 
seas persist for the long term.  
WARNINGS: No watches or warnings are expected in the long term.