NOWCAST: (Today and tonight)
Mostly settled conditions persisted overnight as the fragmenting 
front lingers to the NW of Bermuda. Occasional cloudy skies look 
set to continue today as bouts of low cloud and the odd light shower 
persist into Sunday, increasing slightly overnight as the quasi-stationary 
front becomes reinvigorated towards dawn. Above average temperatures 
look set to continue within a light to moderate SSW`ly breeze that 
gradually eases to become light and variable this evening. Winds 
then settle to the ENE and increase towards moderate as high pressure 
to the distant north causes an increasing pressure gradient squeeze. 
Models show good overall agreement with marginal QPFs resulting from 
the occasional shower into Sunday. Moderate seas match OPC data, 
diminishing slight to moderate into this evening.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: None.
AVIATION: VFR conditions are expected to be occasionally interrupted 
by MVFR/IFR conditions due to low ceilings and a few brief showers. 
RWY 12 remains active with winds 190-210 5-9 knots becoming light 
and variable later in the period. For more information visit: http://weather.bm/aviation/

SHORT TERM FORECAST: Sunday through Monday 
 Near-zonal flow aloft becomes broadly ridged on Sunday, lifting 
the lingering front to the north and allowing early showers to dissipate 
later in the day. Robust high pressure to the distant north slides 
into the North Atlantic, causing a pressure gradient squeeze over 
our area throughout the period. As a result, moderate ENE`ly wind 
gradually veer and increase to become marginally strong at times. 
Models show decent overall agreement, with the UK solution preferred, 
however the EC and GFS show marginally strong winds lingering from 
Sunday evening through Monday and therefore, the current Small Craft 
Warning may need to be extended. Despite a mostly dry and bright 
start to Monday, a few showers remain possible as nearby convergence 
around the edge of the high, in combination with divergent flow aloft 
which may help to develop a few showers, although model QPFs remain 
marginal. Conditionally unstable atmospheric profiles also give the 
slight chance of isolated thunder nearby on Monday, currently expected 
to remain distant. Slight to moderate seas rebuild moderate on Sunday.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: A Small Craft Warning has been 
issued for Sunday evening and again on Monday night for marginally 
strong surface winds.

LONG TERM FORECAST: Tuesday through Wednesday
Tuesday sees sharpening upper troughing move off CONUS, with sympathetic 
ridging overhead helping to maintain a dry wedge of air which allows 
for sunshine to persist through much of Tuesday. A few showers gradually 
develop into Wednesday as upper troughing sends a robust cold front 
into our area on Wednesday morning, as the latest marine charts show. 
The cold front sends scattered showers into the area on Wednesday 
morning with up to an inch of rainfall possible according to the 
latest UK model runs, whilst the EC and GFS remain slightly less 
convinced. Bermuda remains on the forward side of upper troughing 
as an Omega-block sets up across the Atlantic, causing the front 
to stall nearby and maintaining cloudy skies and the chance of further 
showers beyond the forecast period. Moderate to strong SSE`ly winds 
veer SSW`ly into Wednesday morning as the front weakens, causing 
winds to sharply veer N`ly and ease to become light and variable 
overnight. Moderate to rough seas develop on Tuesday, persisting 
into Wednesday.
WATCHES, WARNINGS and ADVISORIES: A Small Craft Warning is likely 
required throughout the period. Slight chance of a Thunderstorm Advisory 
for Wednesday morning.