NOWCAST: (Today and tonight)
The night began partly cloudy and became cloudy towards midnight. 
Though no showers were observed over the island, isolated to scattered 
showers skirted by to the south across parts of the southern marine 
area. Latest satellite and radar imagery show a similar picture with 
variably cloudy skies across the local area and isolated to scattered 
still skirting by to the south and east of the island. High pressure 
has retreated further the west as weak troughing nudged in from the 
south as seen on the latest surface analysis while upper troughing 
to the northwest begins to dig into the local area as seen on WV 
imagery. This has initialized well with global models and gives good 
confidence. Expect dry and sunny weather to prevail for most of the 
day and besides for early this morning as the trough to the south 
moves off to the east. Though the upper trough digs towards the area 
overnight, most of the energy associated with the trough is forecast 
to remain to our north. As a result, the currently active front is 
forecast to weaken significantly as it approaches with QPF’s currently 
unimpressive. Light to moderate south-southwesterly winds are forecast 
to increase moderate and gradually veer westerly during the afternoon 
and northwesterly overnight. Mostly slight seas begin to build overnight 
in response to the wind increase. 

Warning Strategy: No watches or warnings are in effect for today 
and tonight.

AVIATION: Runway 12 will be the favoured active runway to start 
as a light south-southwesterly veers westerly towards the afternoon. 
A change to Runway 30 is likely as the wind veers more southwesterly 
to west-southwesterly towards midday. VFR will prevail with the low 
chance of some passing showers during the early morning which may 
result in a wet runway with brief MVFR and possibly IFR cloud bases 
and ceilings. No other aviation hazards are anticipated. For more 
information visit: http://weather.bm/aviation/


SHORT TERM FORECAST (Tuesday through Wednesday)
Though the upper trough clears the area on Tuesday, a strong subsidence 
regime builds in its wake into Wednesday. High pressure also returns 
as the weak front clears the area by early Tuesday morning. This 
brings more dry and sunny weather though a light to moderate northeasterly 
wind may favour some reverse Morgan’s cloud during the late afternoon 
to early evening on Tuesday. The wind veers more easterly on Wednesday 
and east-southeasterly Tuesday night. Seas build moderate on Tuesday 
but begin to ease once more on Wednesday.

Warning Strategy: No watches or warnings are currently anticipated 
for the short-term period.

LONG TERM FORECAST (Thursday through Friday)
An upper anticyclone forecast to pass to our southwest on Friday 
maintains anticyclonic flow aloft during the long-term. High pressure 
remains dominant at the surface, and will maintain mostly dry and 
sunny weather through both day. Light to moderate east-southeasterly 
winds gradually veer southwesterly over the period and possibly become 
variable for a time on Thursday though there is some model disagreement 
going into Friday. A blended forecast as be used for the winds as 
a result. Slight seas ease smooth to slight into Friday.

Warning Strategy: No watches or warnings are currently anticipated 
for the long-term period.

TROPICAL:  Please refer to the latest Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) 
courtesy of the National Hurricane Center (NHC) for more details 
via https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/