Bermuda Weather Service Forecast Discussion

For Tuesday, July 14, 2026  21:00 UTC

FORECASTER - Anton Wiltshire 

NOWCAST: This evening through Tonight 
A stationary front continues to linger to the south of the Island 
with showers and convective activity occurring just outside of the 
marine boundary, nudging in between S-SW while additional showers 
developed S through W during the afternoon. Tonight, despite a sprinkle 
around, conditions are likely to be mostly fine with variable cloud 
cover.  Zonal flow in the upper levels become cyclonic late tonight 
as an upper trough slides in from the north.  Moderate ENE-ESE winds 
persisted for much of the day and is expected to back somewhat overnight 
NNE-ENE and ease light to moderate.  Temperatures are expected to 
be below seasonal averages while seas remain in a smooth to slight 
state.       
Warnings: No watches or warnings are anticipated.          

AVIATION: VFR conditions are expected to dominate the latest TAF 
with RWY12 active and winds 040-090 DEG 5-15kts, easing to 5-10kts 
overnight.  No significant aviation hazards are expected. For current 
airfield information please visit: http://www.weather.bm/Aviation 
 

SHORT TERM FORECAST: Wednesday through Thursday
Upper troughing clears east early on Wednesday and anticyclonic 
flow follows in its stead to maintain ridging flow aloft into Thursday 
though a shortwave trough skirts the area by afternoon.  Surface 
ridging re-emerges on Wednesday with drier and mostly fine weather 
that lingers through Thursday with plenty of sunshine in store for 
the Island.  Light to marginally moderate NNE-NE winds become variably 
light during the afternoon on Wednesday through the night, possibly 
settling WNW-NW Thursday morning then backing SW’ly by afternoon 
and increasing light to marginally moderate.  Seas are in a smooth 
to slight state.       
WARNINGS: No watches or warning are anticipated.             
       
LONG TERM FORECAST: Friday through Saturday 
In the long term, the upper levels become quite benign as weak flow 
shifts between cyclonic and anticyclonic as different features nudge 
closer for a time. High pressure now to the east, sees troughing 
and areas of convergence moving around the western flank of the high 
to bring increased cloud cover and isolated showers on Friday that 
may become scattered overnight into Saturday but should diminish 
through the day with spells of sunshine likely. On Friday, light 
to marginally moderate SW winds shift between SSW and WSW into Saturday 
then gradually become mainly moderate overnight.  Seas remain smooth 
to slight.       
WARNINGS: No watches or warning are anticipated.                
       

TROPICAL UPDATE
Please visit https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&basin=atlc&fdays=7 
for the latest outlook from the NHC.