Bermuda Weather Service Forecast Discussion
For Tuesday, July 14, 2026
21:00 UTC
FORECASTER - Anton Wiltshire
NOWCAST: This evening through Tonight
A stationary front continues to linger to the south of the Island
with showers and convective activity occurring just outside of the
marine boundary, nudging in between S-SW while additional showers
developed S through W during the afternoon. Tonight, despite a sprinkle
around, conditions are likely to be mostly fine with variable cloud
cover. Zonal flow in the upper levels become cyclonic late tonight
as an upper trough slides in from the north. Moderate ENE-ESE winds
persisted for much of the day and is expected to back somewhat overnight
NNE-ENE and ease light to moderate. Temperatures are expected to
be below seasonal averages while seas remain in a smooth to slight
state.
Warnings: No watches or warnings are anticipated.
AVIATION: VFR conditions are expected to dominate the latest TAF
with RWY12 active and winds 040-090 DEG 5-15kts, easing to 5-10kts
overnight. No significant aviation hazards are expected. For current
airfield information please visit: http://www.weather.bm/Aviation
SHORT TERM FORECAST: Wednesday through Thursday
Upper troughing clears east early on Wednesday and anticyclonic
flow follows in its stead to maintain ridging flow aloft into Thursday
though a shortwave trough skirts the area by afternoon. Surface
ridging re-emerges on Wednesday with drier and mostly fine weather
that lingers through Thursday with plenty of sunshine in store for
the Island. Light to marginally moderate NNE-NE winds become variably
light during the afternoon on Wednesday through the night, possibly
settling WNW-NW Thursday morning then backing SW’ly by afternoon
and increasing light to marginally moderate. Seas are in a smooth
to slight state.
WARNINGS: No watches or warning are anticipated.
LONG TERM FORECAST: Friday through Saturday
In the long term, the upper levels become quite benign as weak flow
shifts between cyclonic and anticyclonic as different features nudge
closer for a time. High pressure now to the east, sees troughing
and areas of convergence moving around the western flank of the high
to bring increased cloud cover and isolated showers on Friday that
may become scattered overnight into Saturday but should diminish
through the day with spells of sunshine likely. On Friday, light
to marginally moderate SW winds shift between SSW and WSW into Saturday
then gradually become mainly moderate overnight. Seas remain smooth
to slight.
WARNINGS: No watches or warning are anticipated.
TROPICAL UPDATE
Please visit https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&basin=atlc&fdays=7
for the latest outlook from the NHC.